Thursday , 11 February 2016
Home » Author Archives: Steve Cook

Author Archives: Steve Cook

Will Rental Housing, not Homeownership, be the Big Winner?

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  As household formation strengthens and returns to previous levels over the next ten years, a new report from the Demand Institute projects that demand for rental housing will continue to lead the way and the home ownership rate is unlikely to revert to previous highs seen during the housing boom in the early 2000s. According to the report, while ... Read More »

Is Bad Information Keeping Potential Buyers in Apartments?

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A new survey from Bankrate found that primary reason 29 percent of renters can’t buy a home is they can’t afford a down payment.  However, at least one out of five of them are overestimating how much they think they will have to raise for a down payment. The more than 3250 non-homeowners participating in the survey expect that they ... Read More »

Local Market Conditions Shape How Interest Rates Impact Prices

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  Local market conditions raging from supply and demand to local population growth have a substantial impact on how federal monetary policy affects home prices, according to new study to be published in the Journal of Housing Economics next month. Motivated by the fact that the period of house price inflation prior to the economic downturn in 2008-9 was characterized ... Read More »

Higher Prices Chill Buyers

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In the cold light of winter. concerns about affordability are cooling potential buyers, according to the latest Sentiment Index from Fannie Mae. Fevers consumers believe this is a “Good Time to Buy”; figures trended down for the year in 2015 and declined an additional 4 percentage points in January. The share of consumers who reported that their income was significantly ... Read More »

Inventory Update: Get the Cavalry Ready

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When we published “Will Sellers Step up the Plate in 2016? “two weeks ago December market report weren’t in yet and it was clearly too early to blow the bugle over the inventory picture for the coming season The reports are now in and hands are reaching for the nearest brass instruments.  Too many signals from too many sources are ... Read More »

Mortgage Credit: The Private/Public Paradox

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Next September, two months before the Presidential election, America celebrates eight years since the Treasury Department took over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and turned them into wholly owned subsidiaries. Since then the federal government’s control over the nation’s housing markets has grown even greater than ever. While we’ve been waiting for policymakers to fix a broken system of housing, ... Read More »

The Rent Trap Redux: Why Millennials Can’t Buy

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Though 2015 was dubbed the Year of the Millennial, though the final sales data are not yet in, actual purchases by young first-time buyers disappointed many real estate observers. Between July 2014 and June 2015. first–time buyers declined to 32 percent (33 percent a year ago), which is the second–lowest share since the survey’s inception (1981) and the lowest since ... Read More »

New Study Suggests MLS Sold Prices are Inflated in Down Markets

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  Transaction prices reported by multiple listing services may differ by an average of 8.75 percent from sold prices reported on HUD-1 settlement statements, possibly because brokers are under pressure to inflate prices in a declining market, according to a new study by three real estate economists at Florida Gulf Coast University published last month by the Appraisal Journal. In ... Read More »

Homeowners Still Overvalue their Homes

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Average appraised values in December were 1.8 percent lower than homeowners’ opinion of their home’s value, marking the 11th straight month when appraised values were lower than homeowners expected, although the gap between the two values has narrowed since August. The Quicken Loans’ national Home Value Index (HVI) – a measure of home values based on recent appraisals used in to ... Read More »

NAR Lowers Sales Forecast

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The National Association of Realtors has reduced its outlook for existing sales in 2016 from a 3 percent increase over 2015 (5.45 million sales) to an increase of only 1 to 2 percent (5.30 to 5.40 million sales). The new forecast, three months before the opening of the home sales season, amends an early one made at NAR’s annual meeting ... Read More »

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