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January Market Reports: Inventories are Down to the Wire

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January is the month when real estate markets traditionally take a breather to restock their shelves for the spring season. In the final quarter of 2016 record demand powered by concern over interest rates and rising prices encouraged buyers to clear the shelves of depleted supplies and strong sales continued into the new year. An analysis of the January market ... Read More »

January Home Sales: Don’t Break out the Bubbly

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  The good news about January home sales is that the year over year rate reached the highest they reached an all-time high, an annualized total that was a little bit higher than it was last November. The bad news is that the serious problems facing the residential real estate economy grew even more serious during the slowest month of ... Read More »

December Sales Improved but are Still 2.2 Percent Below Potential

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  December home sales were up from a shaky November, but they could have been better if not for the inventory shortage. Tthe market for existing-home sales underperformed its potential by 2.2 percent or an estimated 129,000 (SAAR) of sales, an improvement from the 6.2 percent underperformance in November The difference is the gap between actual and potential sales, as ... Read More »

Summer Sales Slow as 2016 Heads for ‘Moderation”

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The first analysis of June market data confirms forecasts that sales peaked in the first half of the year and will hold on to make 2016 a moderating, normalizing housing market like those preceding boom, at the turn of the Millennium. Clear Capital forecasted between sales growth at 1% to 3% in January and is sticking a with the same forecast, which ... Read More »

Apartment Demand Surged in Second Quarter

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  Demand for apartments surged during the second quarter, gaining momentum after a sluggish performance in the first three months of the year and outstripping new units completed during the quarter. The occupied apartment count across the nation’s 100 largest metros increased by 127,402 units in the secone quarter, topping 2015’s second quarter demand volume by 23 percent. Demand surpassed ... Read More »

NAR Lowers Sales Forecast

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The National Association of Realtors has reduced its outlook for existing sales in 2016 from a 3 percent increase over 2015 (5.45 million sales) to an increase of only 1 to 2 percent (5.30 to 5.40 million sales). The new forecast, three months before the opening of the home sales season, amends an early one made at NAR’s annual meeting ... Read More »

“Know Before You Owe” Blamed for Sudden Sales Slump

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Existing-home sales dropped off considerably in November to the slowest pace in 19 months, but the National Association of Realtors said some of the decrease was likely due to the “Know before you owe” or the TILA-RESPA Integrated Disclosures rule (TRID), which took effect October 3. The rule requires lenders and service providers to provide binding estimates and final accounting ... Read More »

More homes are losing value

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  The number of homes nationwide losing value on a monthly basis has more than tripled over the past year while the number of appreciating homes has fallen more than 12 percent, Allan Weiss, CEO of Weiss Residential Research reported today. Depreciating homes increased from 7.60 percent to 23.40 percent while the number of appreciating homes has fallen from 65.20 ... Read More »

Is Clear Capital a Voice in the Wilderness or a Skunk at the Picnic?

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  With annualized sales and price appreciation reports blowing away the early forecasts for 2015 and putting smiles on the faces of professionals and real estate consumers alike, is there reason to worry that there’s a major downturn lurking around the corner? Clear Capital’s vice president of research and analytics Alex Villacorta, a fearless contrarian who called Florida’s investor-driven recovery ... Read More »

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