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Current Indicators

NAR Lowers Sales Forecast

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The National Association of Realtors has reduced its outlook for existing sales in 2016 from a 3 percent increase over 2015 (5.45 million sales) to an increase of only 1 to 2 percent (5.30 to 5.40 million sales). The new forecast, three months before the opening of the home sales season, amends an early one made at NAR’s annual meeting ... Read More »

“Know Before You Owe” Blamed for Sudden Sales Slump

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Existing-home sales dropped off considerably in November to the slowest pace in 19 months, but the National Association of Realtors said some of the decrease was likely due to the “Know before you owe” or the TILA-RESPA Integrated Disclosures rule (TRID), which took effect October 3. The rule requires lenders and service providers to provide binding estimates and final accounting ... Read More »

More homes are losing value

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  The number of homes nationwide losing value on a monthly basis has more than tripled over the past year while the number of appreciating homes has fallen more than 12 percent, Allan Weiss, CEO of Weiss Residential Research reported today. Depreciating homes increased from 7.60 percent to 23.40 percent while the number of appreciating homes has fallen from 65.20 ... Read More »

Is Clear Capital a Voice in the Wilderness or a Skunk at the Picnic?

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  With annualized sales and price appreciation reports blowing away the early forecasts for 2015 and putting smiles on the faces of professionals and real estate consumers alike, is there reason to worry that there’s a major downturn lurking around the corner? Clear Capital’s vice president of research and analytics Alex Villacorta, a fearless contrarian who called Florida’s investor-driven recovery ... Read More »

Auction.com’s “Nowcast” uses Market Data for Forecasts

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By combining industry data, proprietary company transactional data and publicly available Google Trends data, Auction.com has launched a new report called “Nowcast” to predict home sales as they are occurring. Findings from the first Auction.com Nowcast predict that existing home sales in October will fall between seasonally adjusted averages of 4.967 and 5.380 million annual sales, with a targeted prediction ... Read More »

Are Inventories nearing the Danger Zone?

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Prompted by two years of steadily rising prices, inventories are reaching levels higher than they have been in two and a half years according Zillow. Inventory shortages have plagued real estate markets for much of that time, but the latest data suggests that the pendulum may have swung too far in the other direction.  Zillow reported that national for-sale inventory ... Read More »

Were July Sales Up or Down?

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  Two major market reports left real estate professionals shaking their heads this week over the latest sales data.  RealtyTrac and NAR reported July sales headed in opposite directions as the buying season closed up shop for the duration. Sales of residential properties were down 3 percent from June and down 12 percent from a year ago — the third ... Read More »

Case-Shiller Still Stuck

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  The June Case-Shiller consensus reports an 8.4% year-over-year increase in the Composite 20 index but the Zillow forecast is for the Composite 20 to slow the increase 8.1% year-over-year, and for prices to be unchanged month-to-month. Zillow’s forecast for Case-Shiller’s July 2014 data cuts the non-seasonally adjusted 20-City Composite Home Price Index increase to 7.0 percent and the 10-City ... Read More »

Price Increases Cool Down in the Summertime

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Home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased 7.5 percent in June 2014 compared to June 2013 and rose 1 percent over May, setting new highs for 12 states. Despite low rates, investor purchases and tight supplies, prices are expected to slow down to a .07 percent monthly increase in July. A total of 12 states, plus the District of Columbia, ... Read More »

Case-Shiller: Dallas, Chicago Broke Records in November

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Data through November 2013 showed that the 10-City and 20-City Case-Shiller Composites increased 13.8% and 13.7% year-over-year. Dallas posted its highest annual return of 9.9% since its inception in 2000. Chicago also stood out with an annual rate of 11.0%, its highest since December 1988. For the month of November, the two Composites declined 0.1%. After nine consecutive months of ... Read More »

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