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Housing Forecasts

Inventory Update: Get the Cavalry Ready

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When we published “Will Sellers Step up the Plate in 2016? “two weeks ago December market report weren’t in yet and it was clearly too early to blow the bugle over the inventory picture for the coming season The reports are now in and hands are reaching for the nearest brass instruments.  Too many signals from too many sources are ... Read More »

Homeowners Still Overvalue their Homes

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Average appraised values in December were 1.8 percent lower than homeowners’ opinion of their home’s value, marking the 11th straight month when appraised values were lower than homeowners expected, although the gap between the two values has narrowed since August. The Quicken Loans’ national Home Value Index (HVI) – a measure of home values based on recent appraisals used in to ... Read More »

NAR Lowers Sales Forecast

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The National Association of Realtors has reduced its outlook for existing sales in 2016 from a 3 percent increase over 2015 (5.45 million sales) to an increase of only 1 to 2 percent (5.30 to 5.40 million sales). The new forecast, three months before the opening of the home sales season, amends an early one made at NAR’s annual meeting ... Read More »

Clear Capital Puts a Chill in 2016 Price Forecasts

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  Prices in the year to come are going to be a lot worse than most earlier forecasts, according to  Clear Capital’s view of the market, which refuses to “sugarcoat the data”.  The provider of real estate valuations, data and analytics calls for continued market instability and a trend of decreasing rates over the next 12 months, especially in mid ... Read More »

Will Sellers Step up the Plate in 2016?

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    “It is important to recognize that 2016 is shaping up to be the best year in recent memory to sell. Supply remains very tight, so inventory is moving faster. Given the forecast that price appreciation will slow in 2016 to a more normal rate of growth, delaying will not produce substantially higher values, and will also see higher ... Read More »

Mortgage Rates in 2016: Nothing to get Excited About

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    Bankrate’s senior financial analyst Greg McBride isn’t sweating the new environment in mortgage rates.  December’s FOMC decision to start the upward climb one baby step at a time won’t really mean much to home sales in the larger scheme of things and most homeowners who wanted to refinance have already done so. McBride sees rates on a 30-year ... Read More »

Recovery Will Slow in 2016 as Fewer Homes Gain Value

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    The number of homes nationwide gaining value on a monthly basis are expected to fall by 12 percent over the next 10 months as the housing recovery slows. Just over half, 51.3 percent, of America’s homes will continue to appreciate by October 2016, according to forecasts by Weiss Analytics. The percentage of homes losing value nationwide are expected ... Read More »

Counting Down to Positive Equity

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  The countdown has begun.  No, not the New Years’ Eve countdown! The countdown to retuning to a normal level of positive equity. Even in the best of times, a certain number of homeowners are going to pay too much for a house and it might take a few years until their principle payments and appreciation put them in a ... Read More »

Inventory Smoke Signals: More of the Same in 2016?

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It’s no secret the chronic inventory shortage that began three years ago is a ball-and-chain that’s crippling sales and keeping the recovery from achieving its potential. Evidence: Just as the 2014 market opened in March, Realtors reported a severe inventory shortage in most areas, especially for properties in the lower price range and for those that are move-in ready. In ... Read More »

2016 Price Outlook: Experts Agree Prices will Moderate

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    The experts have spoken and their short and long term expectations for home prices next year are slightly more conservative than leading economists at real estate research organizations and trade associations have forecasted that after price growth around 4 percent this year, they will moderate in 2016 and thereafter. More than 100 real estate experts and economists participating ... Read More »

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