Monday , 29 June 2015
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Housing Forecasts

Some 5.7 Million Crash Victims Still Feel the Pain

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Though about five million families lost their homes to foreclosure from 2009 to 20013, some seven million consumers’credit was negatively impacted by the housing crash.  Today, only 1.2 million, or 18 percent, have completely recovered.  But over the next five years some 2.2 million of the remaining 5.7 million unrecovered consumers could meet agency underwriting guidelines, according to a report from ... Read More »

Millennials are Rays of Sunshine amid Clouds of Pessimism

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Remarkably negative findings from the 2015 How Housing Matters survey released this week by the MacArthur Foundation were punctuated by two critically important findings.  Attitudes on the value of housing as an excellent long term investment have flip-flopped and Millennials put a higher priority on the dream of homeownership than their elders. Though the survey found that  most Americans believe ... Read More »

New Studies Illustrate How Consumers Misjudge Home Values

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Encouraged by strong price increases and hot sales this spring, increasing numbers of owners are listing their homes for sale. But chances are good that millions of owners are making wrong assumptions about the value of their homes, according to two new studies. Wrong valuation assumptions can lead to bad decisions about whether to sell, when to sell and how ... Read More »

Nascent Demand, Tight Inventories Supercharge April Prices

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  Prices took an unexpectedly big leap upward in April as rising demand collided with tight supplies to propel sale prices. With headlines like The Re-Explosion of U.S. House Prices Is Over, most forecasts in January had prices rising 4-5 percent over 2014.  Only the CoreLogic and NAR were on the sunny side, predicting 5/9 and 6 percent respectively. Only ... Read More »

Freddie Forecasts Higher Prices, Volatile Rates

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  Freddie Mac’s economists expect the balance of the year to be a hectic one as housing markets are likely to see increasing interest rate volatility for the remainder of the year and consumers try to anticipate the Federal Reserve’s timing around rising short term interest rates.  Home buyers may encounter “bouts of affordability shock” if rates rise suddenly. With ... Read More »

Experts Split on Loosening Lending Standards

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Almost half (46 percent) of the real estate economists and experts surveyed in Zillow’s latest Home Price Expectations Survey believe mortgage underwriting standards are about right today, but an equal number, 47 percent, said they are too still restrictive. Though the experts couldn’t agree on where standards should be, most agreed on where they are going. More than 60 percent ... Read More »

Negative Equity Freezes Lowest Tier Owners

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One reason inventories for first-time buyers are chronically depleted is that lower priced homes continue to bear a more of the brunt of negative equity that those priced higher. A new report from Black Knight found that in March the number of underwater borrowers decreased by 1.6 million from this time last year and that the negative equity population has ... Read More »

Take a Closer Look at the Spring Boomlet: It’s a Remarkable Start

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It’s official.  Early signs and forecasts of an extraordinary sales season are proving to be true.  NAR’s March existing home sales rocketed to their highest annual rate in 18 months. Total March sales increased 6.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.19 million in March from 4.89 million in February—the highest annual rate since September 2013 (also 5.19 ... Read More »

HELOC Resets? No Worries!

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Perhaps you’ve seen the headlines crafted to conjure up fearful memories of Alt-A and Option ARM loan defaults during the depths of the housing depression. Tidal wave of HELOC resets about to hit! HELOC Resets Will Undermine Any Housing Recovery. Boom-Era HELOC Resets Raise Concerns. Not to worry.  Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) resets are not going to cripple the housing ... Read More »

Freddie Mac: Best Sales Season Since the Boom

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Freddie Mac’s economists look for home sales this year to be the best since 2007 with mortgage rates low, purchase applications up and pending home sales on a positive upward trend, even though first quarter results were less than sterling. As a result, the GSE lowered its forecast for economic growth for 2015 from 2.8 to 2.6 percent and the ... Read More »

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