Thursday , 30 July 2015
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Early Warning Signs

Sellers are Pocketing their Biggest Profits since the Peak

Greedy Business Partners

Single family home and condo sellers in the first half of 2015 sold for more above their purchase price in the first half of this year than any time since prices were at the peak of the boom. Homes sold for an average of 13 percent above their original purchase prices, the highest average percentage in home price gains realized ... Read More »

Nearly Half of Homes in Top Markets are Losing Value

shutterstock_142654486

  Despite market reports of strong median home price appreciation this spring, gains are very uneven and nearly half of homes in ten of the nation’s largest markets actually lost value in May. On a house-by-house basis, about one-third fewer homes in the largest markets gained value during the heart of the spring buying season this year compared to last, ... Read More »

Is Clear Capital a Voice in the Wilderness or a Skunk at the Picnic?

wilderness

  With annualized sales and price appreciation reports blowing away the early forecasts for 2015 and putting smiles on the faces of professionals and real estate consumers alike, is there reason to worry that there’s a major downturn lurking around the corner? Clear Capital’s vice president of research and analytics Alex Villacorta, a fearless contrarian who called Florida’s investor-driven recovery ... Read More »

Negative Equity Freezes Lowest Tier Owners

frozen

One reason inventories for first-time buyers are chronically depleted is that lower priced homes continue to bear a more of the brunt of negative equity that those priced higher. A new report from Black Knight found that in March the number of underwater borrowers decreased by 1.6 million from this time last year and that the negative equity population has ... Read More »

Take a Closer Look at the Spring Boomlet: It’s a Remarkable Start

Take a look

It’s official.  Early signs and forecasts of an extraordinary sales season are proving to be true.  NAR’s March existing home sales rocketed to their highest annual rate in 18 months. Total March sales increased 6.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.19 million in March from 4.89 million in February—the highest annual rate since September 2013 (also 5.19 ... Read More »

Buyers Bail Just as Spring Arrives

boy and dpg

With the arrival of the first robins, families’ thoughts turn to buying a new home. Except maybe not this year, according to a new consumer survey by Fannie Mae. Consumer attitudes toward housing appear to have stalled somewhat amid a recent dip in confidence regarding personal finances and income growth, according to Fannie Mae’s March 2015 National Housing Survey™. Among ... Read More »

Lower Income Homeowners Face Negative Equity Forever

Budgeting burdens

  First came the news that last fall saw an uptick in negative equity.  Now Zillow has found that most low end homes, including those already underwater, are losing value, not gaining as one would expect with the tight supplies of entry-level properties.  Suddenly negative equity is no longer yesterday’s news.  Its a huge threat to the entry point for ... Read More »

REO’s: They’re B-A-A-A-A-A-ACK

Theyre Baaack

Four years of declining distress sales quietly ground to a halt last year and now real estate owned properties (REOs) have increased steadily for four months in a row, rising to 23.2%, based on a three-month moving average, according to the latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance HousingPulse Tracking Survey. The distressed property share of home sales peaked at 45.5% in March ... Read More »

Winter Inventories Plant Seeds for Spring Surprises

winter for sale

Behind the headlines proclaiming heather inventory levels, there are good reasons to be concerned that tight inventoiers today might presage price explosions tomorrow, especially in two areas where the real estate economy is vulneratble to bubbles:  hot regions that led demand and price increases last year and lower tiered entry level homes popular with new home buyers. On a national ... Read More »

Is the Recovery Coming to a Screeching Halt?

halt

  After slowly winding down over the summer months, the third and fourth quarter data now being released shows that price appreciation is no longer slowing.  It is now within inches of a total screeching halt that could presage a shift in the recovery’s momentum as real estate markets don their pajamas for the winter hibernation. The September 2014 index ... Read More »

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