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Early Warning Signs

Clear Capital Hopes a Thaw will Warm up Prices

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Winter continues to slow growth in housing price appreciation across the nation, but distressed saturation levels – the percentage of real estate owned and short sales to all sales – could point to a strong market return come spring. Across the nation, regions continue to wane in quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) growth in home prices during the slow winter real estate season. ... Read More »

Inventory Update: Pre-season Inventories Get Scary

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As the build-up to the spring buying season winds down in a matter of weeks, the inventory picture is shaping up be significantly worse than it was last year—which was one of the tightest in recent years.  A rush of new listings in February and March could brighten the picture, but through January it’s clear that inventories are going starting ... Read More »

Inventory Update: Get the Cavalry Ready

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When we published “Will Sellers Step up the Plate in 2016? “two weeks ago December market report weren’t in yet and it was clearly too early to blow the bugle over the inventory picture for the coming season The reports are now in and hands are reaching for the nearest brass instruments.  Too many signals from too many sources are ... Read More »

NAR Lowers Sales Forecast

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The National Association of Realtors has reduced its outlook for existing sales in 2016 from a 3 percent increase over 2015 (5.45 million sales) to an increase of only 1 to 2 percent (5.30 to 5.40 million sales). The new forecast, three months before the opening of the home sales season, amends an early one made at NAR’s annual meeting ... Read More »

Will Sellers Step up the Plate in 2016?

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    “It is important to recognize that 2016 is shaping up to be the best year in recent memory to sell. Supply remains very tight, so inventory is moving faster. Given the forecast that price appreciation will slow in 2016 to a more normal rate of growth, delaying will not produce substantially higher values, and will also see higher ... Read More »

Inventory Smoke Signals: More of the Same in 2016?

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It’s no secret the chronic inventory shortage that began three years ago is a ball-and-chain that’s crippling sales and keeping the recovery from achieving its potential. Evidence: Just as the 2014 market opened in March, Realtors reported a severe inventory shortage in most areas, especially for properties in the lower price range and for those that are move-in ready. In ... Read More »

2016 Price Outlook: Experts Agree Prices will Moderate

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    The experts have spoken and their short and long term expectations for home prices next year are slightly more conservative than leading economists at real estate research organizations and trade associations have forecasted that after price growth around 4 percent this year, they will moderate in 2016 and thereafter. More than 100 real estate experts and economists participating ... Read More »

Corelogic: July Prices Rose 6.9 Percent and 4.7 Percent Hike Forecasted Next Year

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CoreLogic remained as bullish in July as June, reporting price increases of 6.9 percent in July 2015 compared with July 2014. On a month-over-month basis, home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased by 1.7 percent in July 2015 compared with June 2015. Including distressed sales, only Colorado has more than 10 percent year-over-year growth. Additionally, only 10 states have experienced increased ... Read More »

Wake-Up Call: Depreciation Soars in Top Markets

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Though rising median home prices paint a favorable picture of current housing markets, the population of houses losing over 2 percent of value per year has increased to 24 percent from just 6 percent a year ago in ten of the nation’s largest markets. According to June data, in three major urban markets–New York City, Washington DC and Chicago–more than ... Read More »

Home Values Suffer a Mid-tier Body Blow

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  The most populated segment of housing markets, mid-tier priced homes selling between $120,000 and $345,000 are the worst segment in terms of price appreciation, selling nearly 25 percent below peak levels, keeping the recovery locked into low gear July data from Clear Capital revealed that the low-tier is closest to peak 2006 levels, with prices only 10.1% below 2006 ... Read More »

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