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Recovery Signals

Home Prices are now only 6.5 Percent below Peak

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  In terms of national averages, the recovery has raised prices within a hair of their highest peaks reached during the boom nearly ten years ago, but on a market-by-market basis, median prices in fewer than half of the nation’s larger markets have fully rebounded from the housing crash. At $251,000, US home prices are now just 6.5 percent off ... Read More »

Nearly Half of Homes in Top Markets are Losing Value

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  Despite market reports of strong median home price appreciation this spring, gains are very uneven and nearly half of homes in ten of the nation’s largest markets actually lost value in May. On a house-by-house basis, about one-third fewer homes in the largest markets gained value during the heart of the spring buying season this year compared to last, ... Read More »

Is Clear Capital a Voice in the Wilderness or a Skunk at the Picnic?

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  With annualized sales and price appreciation reports blowing away the early forecasts for 2015 and putting smiles on the faces of professionals and real estate consumers alike, is there reason to worry that there’s a major downturn lurking around the corner? Clear Capital’s vice president of research and analytics Alex Villacorta, a fearless contrarian who called Florida’s investor-driven recovery ... Read More »

Some 5.7 Million Crash Victims Still Feel the Pain

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Though about five million families lost their homes to foreclosure from 2009 to 20013, some seven million consumers’credit was negatively impacted by the housing crash.  Today, only 1.2 million, or 18 percent, have completely recovered.  But over the next five years some 2.2 million of the remaining 5.7 million unrecovered consumers could meet agency underwriting guidelines, according to a report from ... Read More »

Millennials are Rays of Sunshine amid Clouds of Pessimism

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Remarkably negative findings from the 2015 How Housing Matters survey released this week by the MacArthur Foundation were punctuated by two critically important findings.  Attitudes on the value of housing as an excellent long term investment have flip-flopped and Millennials put a higher priority on the dream of homeownership than their elders. Though the survey found that  most Americans believe ... Read More »

Nascent Demand, Tight Inventories Supercharge April Prices

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  Prices took an unexpectedly big leap upward in April as rising demand collided with tight supplies to propel sale prices. With headlines like The Re-Explosion of U.S. House Prices Is Over, most forecasts in January had prices rising 4-5 percent over 2014.  Only the CoreLogic and NAR were on the sunny side, predicting 5/9 and 6 percent respectively. Only ... Read More »

Freddie Forecasts Higher Prices, Volatile Rates

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  Freddie Mac’s economists expect the balance of the year to be a hectic one as housing markets are likely to see increasing interest rate volatility for the remainder of the year and consumers try to anticipate the Federal Reserve’s timing around rising short term interest rates.  Home buyers may encounter “bouts of affordability shock” if rates rise suddenly. With ... Read More »

Take a Closer Look at the Spring Boomlet: It’s a Remarkable Start

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It’s official.  Early signs and forecasts of an extraordinary sales season are proving to be true.  NAR’s March existing home sales rocketed to their highest annual rate in 18 months. Total March sales increased 6.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.19 million in March from 4.89 million in February—the highest annual rate since September 2013 (also 5.19 ... Read More »

Freddie Mac: Best Sales Season Since the Boom

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Freddie Mac’s economists look for home sales this year to be the best since 2007 with mortgage rates low, purchase applications up and pending home sales on a positive upward trend, even though first quarter results were less than sterling. As a result, the GSE lowered its forecast for economic growth for 2015 from 2.8 to 2.6 percent and the ... Read More »

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