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Housing Recovery

Demand and Inventory Drought Drive Up Price Forecasts

crystal ball

Housing economists and experts are raising their price forecasts for the balance of the year as relentlessly low inventories and strong demand continue to drive prices up prices and crippled affordability, especially for entry-level buyers in more active markets. The 2017 Q2 Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey found that the more than 100 participants in its latest survey expect prices ... Read More »

Mortgage Fraud on the Rise as Buyers Scramble to Land Homes

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  The frequency of defects, fraudulence and misrepresentation in the information submitted in mortgage loan applications increased 3.9 percent in March 2017 as compared with the previous month. Firse American’s Defect Index for purchase transactions increased 2.4 percent compared to last month, and is up 3.6 percent compared to a year ago. “This month, the Loan Application Defect Index continued ... Read More »

Depleted Inventories Seen Cutting Home Sales This Year

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The supply of homes for sale this spring is so depleted that one of the nation’s valuation firms predicts that the inventory drought will reduce total home sales this year as shortages drive up prices and buyers fail to find properties they can afford, according to the latest analysis from Pro Teck Valuation’s Home Value Forecast. “The lack of inventory ... Read More »

March Sales: New Listings Were Off to the Races

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March buyers blew the roof off housing markets as they heeded warnings about the limited supplies of home for sale and found houses in record time.  National monthly market reports on March transactions chronicled surge of sales as the spring season kicked off and tens of thousands of new listings turned over in a matter of days. “We expected a ... Read More »

Truth from Trulia: The Unrecovered Housing Economy

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Donald Trump’s rise through the GOP primaries and a surprise victory in November unmasked a deep and widespread angst over the quality of nation’s economic recovery. While national numbers on job growth and income levels have looked encouraging to national journalists and Washington-centric politicians, from the perspective of corner cafes and assembly line floors in heartland states, the picture has ... Read More »

Single Family Rental Update: Are Landlords Selling?

Arentals

During the Foreclosure Flood, four to six million foreclosures—about as many homes as are sold nationally every year—switched from ownership to rental, bringing the total of single family rentals to about 14 million, more than ever recorded. The boom in single-family rentals has left an indelible mark on the nation’s housing economy.  The loss of these properties, most of the ... Read More »

Six Signs That Sales are Softening

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Last year was not a great one for the housing economists who forecast home sales.  Most, include NAR[1] and Fannie Mae[2], predicted that existing homes sales would end up south of a 3 percent increase over 2015.  In fact, sales did a little better, rising 3.2 percent for the best sales year since 2006.[3] This year, experts are low-balling sales ... Read More »

January Home Sales: Don’t Break out the Bubbly

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  The good news about January home sales is that the year over year rate reached the highest they reached an all-time high, an annualized total that was a little bit higher than it was last November. The bad news is that the serious problems facing the residential real estate economy grew even more serious during the slowest month of ... Read More »

December Sales Improved but are Still 2.2 Percent Below Potential

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  December home sales were up from a shaky November, but they could have been better if not for the inventory shortage. Tthe market for existing-home sales underperformed its potential by 2.2 percent or an estimated 129,000 (SAAR) of sales, an improvement from the 6.2 percent underperformance in November The difference is the gap between actual and potential sales, as ... Read More »

Bad Signs for Sales?

For-Sale-Winter

Will 2016 be remembered as the peak of the recovery?  It was the best year for sales in more than a decade.  Will sales take a break in 2017, a victim of political uncertainty, rising rates and prices that are outpacing incomes? Even worse, will 2017 herald a multi-year downtrend in sales? Last year, existing-home sales finished 2016 at 5.45 ... Read More »

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